StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Nate Furman

MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

10-Day-IL · Right Oblique · expected back 2026-09-26

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.6
Total Bases3±0.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Total Bases0.30+0.3
09-04Total Bases0.30+0.3
09-03Hits0.30+0.3
09-02Total Bases0.30+0.3
09-01Hits0.31−0.8
08-31Hits0.12−1.9
08-29Hits0.10+0.1
08-27Hits0.10+0.1