StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Nate Eaton

Boston Red Sox · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.2
09-20@ TB0
09-18@ TB1
09-18@ TEX0
09-17@ TEX0
09-13vs KC0
09-09vs LAA1
07-12@ NYM0
07-09@ CHW0
07-04@ LAA0
07-01vs WSH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.2 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.4
Total Bases1±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.20+0.2
09-18Hits0.31−0.7
09-17Total Bases0.60+0.6
09-16Hits0.30+0.3
09-15Hits0.30+0.3
09-13Hits0.30+0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TBL 5-1200000010000.133.291.244.535
09-18@ TBW 4-2301000010000.140.288.256.544
09-18@ TEXW 4-3110000010100.125.271.250.521
09-17@ TEXL 7-3100000000000.128.261.256.517
09-13vs KCW 4-1200000000100.132.267.263.530
09-09vs LAAL 6-4401000100000.139.279.278.557
07-12@ NYMW 3-2 F/10300000000200.125.282.281.563
07-09@ CHWW 2-1100000010100.138.306.310.616
07-04@ LAAW 5-2500000000300.143.294.321.616
07-01vs WSHL 10-2300000101100.174.345.391.736
06-28vs NYYW 5-4 F/10300000000100.200.360.450.810
06-27vs NYYW 4-1100000000100.235.409.529.939
06-25vs NYYW 6-3000000101000.250.429.563.991
06-24@ COLL 8-6400000010000.250.400.563.963
06-24@ COLW 5-2423200210010.333.467.7501.217
06-21@ SEAL 3-1211001110100.125.300.500.800
06-21@ SEAW 5-1300000010200.000.143.000.143
06-18vs TORL 4-3000000000010.000.000.000.000
06-17vs TORL 3-0200000000000.000.000.000.000
06-10@ TBL 7-5100000000000.000.000.000.000