StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Mike Yastrzemski

Atlanta Braves · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.8
Total Bases5±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Total Bases0.80+0.8
09-08Total Bases0.70+0.7
09-06Total Bases0.71−0.3
09-02Hits0.42−1.6
08-31Hits0.50+0.5
08-30Total Bases0.80+0.8
08-29Hits0.50+0.5
08-28Hits0.51−0.5
08-26Hits0.51−0.5
08-25Hits0.50+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ HOUW 4-2412001300100.231.313.393.706
09-19@ HOUW 6-3422001100100.228.311.383.694
09-19@ HOUW 6-2400000000200.225.309.373.682
09-16@ CHCL 8-4100000000000.228.312.377.689
09-15@ CHCW 6-3400000000000.228.313.378.691
09-14@ CHCL 7-3111001210000.231.316.383.699
09-13vs PHIL 9-4400000000200.229.313.372.685
09-11vs PHIW 6-5 F/11303000010000.231.316.377.693
09-10vs TBW 3-1111100000000.224.309.371.679
09-09vs TBL 7-2300000000000.222.307.366.672
09-08vs TBL 7-1300000000000.224.309.369.678
09-06@ PHIW 5-4321000010200.226.312.373.684
09-04@ PHIW 5-2010000010000.225.310.373.683
09-02@ WSHW 9-0512100000100.225.308.373.681
08-31vs SFL 7-3400000000100.222.306.369.676
08-30vs COLW 3-2 F/10100000000100.225.310.374.684
08-29vs COLW 2-1400000000000.226.311.375.686
08-28vs COLW 6-4201000000100.229.315.380.695
08-27vs LADW 1-0300000000100.227.313.380.693
08-26vs LADW 6-5211000000100.229.316.384.700