StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Mike Trout

Los Angeles Angels · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.6
09-20vs MIN0
09-20vs MIN2
09-19vs MIN0
09-18vs MIN1
09-17vs SEA0
09-16vs SEA0
09-15vs SEA1
09-13@ WSH1
09-12@ WSH0
09-11@ WSH1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases5±0.9
Hits3±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Total Bases1.51+0.5
09-08Hits1.01+0.0
08-29Hits1.00+1.0
07-25Hits0.92−1.1
07-21Total Bases1.91+0.9
07-20Total Bases2.00+2.0
07-18Total Bases2.01+1.0
07-17Total Bases1.92−0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MINL 8-0100000011100.241.381.419.800
09-20vs MINW 6-5 F/11402000020000.241.380.420.799
09-19vs MINL 3-0400000000200.239.377.419.796
09-18vs MINW 5-4 F/10411000110100.241.379.423.802
09-17vs SEAL 7-2300000020100.241.379.424.803
09-16vs SEAW 2-1300000010100.243.379.427.806
09-15vs SEAW 6-4311000010100.244.380.429.809
09-13@ WSHL 6-5201100020100.244.379.430.809
09-12@ WSHL 6-5 F/10310000020200.243.376.428.804
09-11@ WSHL 4-3311001101200.244.376.430.807
09-09@ BOSW 6-4411100000000.244.375.425.800
09-08@ BOSW 6-1411100010200.243.376.424.800
09-07@ BOSL 5-2401000000300.243.376.423.799
09-06@ PITL 1-0402100000000.243.377.425.802
09-05@ PITW 6-1412000101200.241.376.422.798
09-04@ PITL 1-0401000000100.239.374.421.795
09-03vs NYYL 6-3 F/10401000000200.239.375.423.797
09-02vs NYYL 7-3400000000200.239.376.424.800
09-01vs NYYW 10-1512000200100.241.379.428.807
08-30vs PHIL 5-2401100101000.239.378.429.807