StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Mickey Moniak

Colorado Rockies · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.5
09-20vs SEA0
09-20vs SEA0
09-19vs SEA1
09-17vs SD2
09-16vs SD1
09-15vs SD0
09-13@ DET1
09-11@ DET0
09-09@ NYY0
09-08@ NYY0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±0.9
Hits4±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Total Bases1.40+1.4
09-14Total Bases1.20+1.2
09-08Hits0.70+0.7
09-04Hits0.80+0.8
09-02Hits0.80+0.8
09-01Total Bases1.41+0.4
08-31Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-31Hits1.01−0.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SEAL 2-1100000000100.241.282.482.764
09-20vs SEAW 5-3400000000100.242.282.483.766
09-19vs SEAL 5-4501010000200.244.285.488.773
09-17vs SDL 9-2302000010000.245.286.487.773
09-16vs SDW 9-3411010000100.241.282.486.767
09-15vs SDL 8-7400000010100.241.282.483.765
09-13@ DETL 8-1401100000300.244.283.488.771
09-11@ DETL 6-2200000000100.244.283.488.771
09-09@ NYYL 6-1400000000300.245.285.490.775
09-08@ NYYL 5-3400000000300.248.288.496.783
09-06vs STLL 10-8412001400200.251.290.501.792
09-06vs STLW 10-7000000000000.248.288.493.781
09-05vs STLL 7-6500000000100.248.288.493.781
09-02vs BALW 6-5 F/11200000000000.251.292.500.792
09-02vs BALW 4-2411000000000.253.294.503.797
09-01vs BALL 2-1401000000001.253.294.506.800
08-30@ ATLL 3-2 F/10401000000100.253.295.509.803
08-29@ ATLL 2-1400000000200.253.295.512.807
08-28@ ATLL 6-4402100000100.256.298.518.816
08-26@ WSHW 13-1510000010300.253.296.515.811