StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Michael Harris II

Atlanta Braves · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 1.3
09-20@ HOU0
09-19@ HOU0
09-19@ HOU3
09-16@ CHC1
09-15@ CHC0
09-14@ CHC2
09-13vs PHI3
09-12vs PHI4
09-11vs PHI0
09-10vs TB0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases12±1.2
Hits3±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-26Hits1.20+1.2
08-22Hits1.22−0.8
08-20Total Bases1.82−0.2
08-19Total Bases1.71+0.7
08-05Hits0.92−1.1
07-27Total Bases2.01+1.0
07-26Total Bases2.11+1.1
07-25Total Bases2.22+0.2
07-24Total Bases2.23−0.8
07-23Total Bases2.25−2.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ HOUW 4-2210000020000.289.318.486.804
09-19@ HOUW 6-3400000000000.290.316.488.804
09-19@ HOUW 6-2513001200100.293.319.491.810
09-16@ CHCL 8-4411000000100.290.316.485.801
09-15@ CHCW 6-3400000000100.290.317.486.803
09-14@ CHCL 7-3412000000000.292.319.490.809
09-13vs PHIL 9-4523000000200.291.318.490.808
09-12vs PHIW 12-2524001300010.288.315.489.804
09-11vs PHIW 6-5 F/11500000000100.283.311.480.791
09-10vs TBW 3-1300000000000.286.314.485.799
09-09vs TBL 7-2300000010100.287.315.488.803
09-08vs TBL 7-1400000000000.289.316.490.806
09-07@ PHIL 1-0301000000100.291.318.494.812
09-06@ PHIW 5-4401000000000.291.318.495.813
09-05@ PHIL 4-2400000000200.291.319.497.816
09-04@ PHIW 5-2200000000000.294.321.501.822
09-02@ WSHW 9-0310000010100.295.322.503.825
09-01@ WSHL 9-5411001200100.296.323.506.829
08-31vs SFL 7-3412001100200.297.323.502.825
08-30vs COLW 3-2 F/10401000000110.295.322.496.818