StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Michael Busch

Chicago Cubs · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.6
Total Bases2±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Hits0.72−1.3
09-03Hits0.80+0.8
09-01Hits0.81−0.2
08-22Hits1.01−0.0
07-21Total Bases1.91+0.9
07-17Total Bases1.51+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CINW 9-1411000010200.239.350.396.747
09-19@ CINW 5-2312001101100.239.350.397.747
09-18@ CINL 6-4300000020101.236.348.391.738
09-16vs ATLW 8-4310000010200.238.347.393.740
09-15vs ATLL 6-3321000010000.239.348.395.743
09-14vs ATLW 7-3210000020110.238.347.395.742
09-13vs PITL 4-3412000000200.239.346.396.742
09-12vs PITW 4-3311001100100.237.345.396.741
09-11vs PITW 12-2422100300000.237.345.391.736
09-09@ MILL 8-6310000110100.235.345.388.733
09-08@ MILL 4-3 F/10301000120100.236.345.390.735
09-07@ MILL 4-3100000000000.236.343.390.734
09-06@ MIAL 10-3300000000000.236.344.391.735
09-05@ MIAW 6-5512100100100.237.345.393.739
09-04@ MIAW 6-1421001110100.236.345.391.736
09-03vs MILW 2-1300000000100.236.345.387.731
09-02vs MILL 9-5400000000200.237.346.389.735
09-01vs MILL 9-4401100000100.239.348.392.740
08-31vs MILW 17-3511100010100.239.349.391.740
08-30vs CINL 7-5400000000400.239.349.391.740