StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Max Muncy

Athletics · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 1
09-17@ TB0
09-16@ TB0
09-13vs SEA0
09-13vs SEA1
09-12vs SEA1
09-09vs TOR2
09-08vs TOR1
09-06@ SEA0
09-06@ SEA2
09-05@ SEA3

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.8
Total Bases2±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Hits0.90+0.9
08-29Hits0.70+0.7
08-23Hits0.61−0.4
08-19Hits0.52−1.5
08-16Hits0.42−1.6
08-15Total Bases0.70+0.7
08-14Hits0.50+0.5
08-12Hits0.50+0.5
08-05Hits0.60+0.6
08-04Total Bases1.10+1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-17@ TBL 10-1100000000100.230.296.387.682
09-16@ TBL 4-3100000000000.231.297.388.685
09-13vs SEAW 8-7300000000200.232.298.390.688
09-13vs SEAL 19-1101000000000.235.301.394.695
09-12vs SEAW 6-5 F/10501000100100.232.299.392.691
09-09vs TORW 2-0202000010000.233.300.396.696
09-08vs TORW 6-5401000000300.226.293.391.684
09-06@ SEAL 2-0300000000000.226.293.393.687
09-06@ SEAW 6-2422001200100.229.297.398.695
09-05@ SEAW 7-6413001100100.224.293.384.677
09-04@ SEAW 7-4401000100100.215.286.364.650
09-02@ TEXL 8-5400000010000.214.287.366.653
09-01@ TEXL 8-1300000000200.218.289.373.661
08-30vs BALL 8-5101000000000.221.292.378.670
08-30vs BALL 5-3300000010100.218.289.375.664
08-29vs BALL 4-3 F/10402000000000.221.290.380.670
08-25vs MINL 9-6401000000100.215.286.378.664
08-23@ HOUW 7-6411001100300.215.287.380.667
08-22@ HOUW 4-3401000000100.214.288.368.656
08-22@ HOUL 4-0300000000100.213.288.371.659