StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Max Clark

Detroit Tigers · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20@ CHW0
09-19@ CHW1
09-18@ CHW1
09-17@ CHW1
09-16@ TOR1
09-15@ TOR2
09-14@ TOR1
09-13vs COL1
09-12vs COL3
09-11vs COL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.1
Total Bases1±0.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Hits1.01−0.0
09-07Total Bases1.41+0.4
08-25Hits0.81−0.2
08-16Hits1.010.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CHWL 8-1200000110000.275.357.431.788
09-19@ CHWL 3-1301000010000.278.360.437.796
09-18@ CHWW 11-8421000010000.277.356.439.795
09-17@ CHWL 3-1311000001100.278.355.444.799
09-16@ TORL 5-1401000000100.277.352.446.797
09-15@ TORW 10-1522100200100.278.354.451.805
09-14@ TORW 6-5411100200000.273.353.446.799
09-13vs COLW 8-1311000010110.274.355.444.800
09-12vs COLW 11-7413100110000.273.351.447.798
09-11vs COLW 6-2221001111010.258.336.430.765
09-09vs MINW 7-2311000010111.254.324.405.729
09-08vs MINL 3-2300000000000.252.319.407.725
09-07vs MINW 5-4311000010200.258.326.417.742
09-06@ CLEL 3-2 F/10400000000300.256.320.419.739
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10400000000100.265.331.434.764
09-04@ CLEL 7-6403000200010.275.342.450.791
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12433300120000.257.328.438.766
09-01@ MINL 15-2301000001200.238.300.396.696
08-31@ MINL 11-1300000000100.235.292.398.690
08-30vs LADL 6-1300000000200.242.301.411.711