StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Mauricio Dubon

Atlanta Braves · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.4
09-20@ HOU1
09-19@ HOU1
09-19@ HOU2
09-16@ CHC2
09-15@ CHC1
09-14@ CHC2
09-13vs PHI3
09-12vs PHI1
09-11vs PHI1
09-10vs TB0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.6
Total Bases2±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits1.21+0.2
09-16Hits1.02−1.0
08-27Hits1.00+1.0
08-25Hits1.11+0.1
08-21Hits1.02−1.0
07-29Hits0.81−0.2
07-23Total Bases1.61+0.6
07-19Total Bases1.70+1.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ HOUW 4-2411100000200.273.318.394.712
09-19@ HOUW 6-3401000000100.273.319.393.712
09-19@ HOUW 6-2502100000100.273.319.394.714
09-16@ CHCL 8-4412110100000.272.318.393.711
09-15@ CHCW 6-3301000010010.271.317.386.703
09-14@ CHCL 7-3302000010000.270.316.386.702
09-13vs PHIL 9-4403000010110.268.313.385.698
09-12vs PHIW 12-2411000201100.264.309.382.691
09-11vs PHIW 6-5 F/11301000101000.264.308.383.691
09-10vs TBW 3-1300000000000.264.307.383.690
09-09vs TBL 7-2401000000001.266.309.386.694
09-08vs TBL 7-1401000000000.266.309.387.696
09-07@ PHIL 1-0300000000000.266.309.388.697
09-06@ PHIW 5-4402100000000.267.311.390.701
09-05@ PHIL 4-2400000000200.265.310.387.697
09-04@ PHIW 5-2422001200000.268.312.390.702
09-01@ WSHL 9-5400000000100.266.311.383.694
08-31vs SFL 7-3400000000100.268.313.387.699
08-30vs COLW 3-2 F/10301000010000.270.315.390.705
08-29vs COLW 2-1411000000000.270.314.390.704