Matt Olson
Atlanta Braves · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
7/1070% cleared overavg 1.3
09-20@ HOU0✗
09-19@ HOU2✓
09-19@ HOU3✓
09-16@ CHC1✓
09-15@ CHC2✓
09-14@ CHC0✗
09-13vs PHI3✓
09-12vs PHI0✗
09-11vs PHI1✓
09-10vs TB1✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases8———±1.8
Hits2———±0.9
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Total Bases1.50+1.5
09-10Total Bases1.31+0.3
08-23Hits0.80+0.8
07-25Total Bases2.10+2.1
07-24Total Bases2.05−3.0
07-23Hits1.00+1.0
07-21Total Bases2.21+1.2
07-20Total Bases2.20+2.2
07-19Total Bases2.23−0.8
07-17Total Bases2.15−2.9
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | @ HOU | W 4-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .253 | .324 | .506 | .830 |
| 09-19 | @ HOU | W 6-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .255 | .326 | .509 | .836 |
| 09-19 | @ HOU | W 6-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .253 | .325 | .509 | .835 |
| 09-16 | @ CHC | L 8-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .323 | .503 | .827 |
| 09-15 | @ CHC | W 6-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .324 | .505 | .829 |
| 09-14 | @ CHC | L 7-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .248 | .323 | .505 | .828 |
| 09-13 | vs PHI | L 9-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .323 | .508 | .831 |
| 09-12 | vs PHI | W 12-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .247 | .321 | .502 | .823 |
| 09-11 | vs PHI | W 6-5 F/11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .249 | .323 | .506 | .830 |
| 09-10 | vs TB | W 3-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .249 | .323 | .503 | .825 |
| 09-09 | vs TB | L 7-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .248 | .323 | .504 | .826 |
| 09-08 | vs TB | L 7-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .249 | .323 | .505 | .829 |
| 09-07 | @ PHI | L 1-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .249 | .324 | .507 | .831 |
| 09-06 | @ PHI | W 5-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .249 | .324 | .508 | .832 |
| 09-05 | @ PHI | L 4-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .326 | .512 | .838 |
| 09-04 | @ PHI | W 5-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .326 | .515 | .841 |
| 09-02 | @ WSH | W 9-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .254 | .328 | .518 | .847 |
| 09-01 | @ WSH | L 9-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .256 | .331 | .523 | .854 |
| 08-31 | vs SF | L 7-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .256 | .332 | .523 | .855 |
| 08-30 | vs COL | W 3-2 F/10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .258 | .334 | .527 | .861 |