Matt McLain
Cincinnati Reds · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:
7/1070% cleared underavg 0.3
09-20vs CHC1✗
09-19vs CHC0✓
09-18vs CHC0✓
09-17vs LAD0✓
09-16vs LAD1✗
09-15vs LAD0✓
09-11@ MIL0✓
09-10@ LAD0✓
09-09@ LAD1✗
09-08@ LAD0✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits15———±0.8
Total Bases1———±1.3
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.51−0.5
09-19Hits0.50+0.5
09-16Hits0.51−0.5
09-01Hits0.60+0.6
08-28Hits0.70+0.7
08-26Hits0.61−0.4
08-25Total Bases1.30+1.3
08-24Hits0.70+0.7
08-23Hits0.70+0.7
08-21Hits0.70+0.7
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | vs CHC | L 9-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .184 | .274 | .334 | .608 |
| 09-19 | vs CHC | L 5-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .183 | .274 | .334 | .608 |
| 09-18 | vs CHC | W 6-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .184 | .275 | .336 | .611 |
| 09-17 | vs LAD | L 8-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .185 | .277 | .338 | .615 |
| 09-16 | vs LAD | W 6-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .187 | .279 | .342 | .621 |
| 09-15 | vs LAD | L 4-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .186 | .279 | .340 | .619 |
| 09-11 | @ MIL | L 20-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .281 | .343 | .624 |
| 09-10 | @ LAD | L 14-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .283 | .345 | .628 |
| 09-09 | @ LAD | L 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .189 | .284 | .346 | .630 |
| 09-08 | @ LAD | L 6-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .283 | .346 | .630 |
| 09-06 | vs MIL | W 12-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .286 | .350 | .636 |
| 09-05 | vs MIL | W 5-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .285 | .351 | .635 |
| 09-04 | vs MIL | L 10-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .284 | .343 | .627 |
| 09-02 | vs SD | W 7-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .285 | .336 | .621 |
| 09-01 | vs SD | W 4-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .287 | .339 | .626 |
| 08-31 | vs SD | L 5-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .191 | .288 | .341 | .629 |
| 08-30 | @ CHC | W 7-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .286 | .341 | .627 |
| 08-29 | @ CHC | L 17-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .286 | .342 | .629 |
| 08-28 | @ CHC | W 10-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .191 | .289 | .346 | .635 |
| 08-26 | @ SF | W 10-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .193 | .290 | .350 | .640 |