StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Luke Keaschall

Minnesota Twins · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20@ LAA1
09-19@ LAA1
09-18@ LAA1
09-16vs NYY3
09-15vs NYY3
09-14vs NYY0
09-13vs CLE2
09-12vs CLE1
09-12vs CLE0
09-09@ DET0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases6±1
Hits3±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.01+0.0
09-06Total Bases1.80+1.8
09-01Total Bases1.93−1.1
08-18Hits1.12−0.9
08-17Total Bases1.73−1.3
07-30Total Bases1.00+1.0
07-26Hits0.90+0.9
07-23Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-19Total Bases1.41+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11511100100110.278.370.387.757
09-19@ LAAW 3-0301000001000.279.371.386.758
09-18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10501000000200.279.370.387.757
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13523000100010.279.372.389.761
09-15vs NYYL 8-1403000000000.276.370.387.756
09-14vs NYYL 8-3200000030000.272.367.384.751
09-13vs CLEL 9-2412000000000.273.365.385.750
09-12vs CLEW 4-3411000000100.271.364.384.748
09-12vs CLEL 5-2400000000000.272.365.385.750
09-09@ DETL 7-2300000001000.274.368.389.756
09-08@ DETW 3-2311100010000.276.369.391.760
09-07@ DETL 5-4211000021010.275.368.389.757
09-06@ CHWL 10-1300000000200.274.364.389.752
09-05@ CHWW 6-4522000000000.276.366.391.757
09-04@ CHWL 4-1500000000000.275.365.391.757
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12401000102100.278.369.396.764
09-01vs DETW 15-2512100200000.278.367.397.764
08-31vs DETW 11-1332100010010.277.367.395.762
08-30vs CHWW 5-1312001110000.274.364.390.754
08-29vs CHWL 3-2411100000100.271.361.382.743