StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Luis Lara

Milwaukee Brewers · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.7
09-19@ BAL0
09-18@ BAL1
09-17@ PIT0
09-16@ PIT1
09-15@ PIT1
09-13vs CIN0
09-11vs CIN2
09-08vs CHC1
09-07vs CHC1
09-05@ CIN0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.7
Total Bases3±1.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits0.80+0.8
09-18Hits0.81−0.3
09-17Total Bases1.00+1.0
09-08Hits0.91−0.1
08-26Hits0.92−1.1
08-15Total Bases0.81−0.2
08-07Hits0.62−1.4
07-26Total Bases0.84−3.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19@ BALW 1-0300000000200.251.318.337.655
09-18@ BALW 6-5 F/10311000000000.256.323.343.666
09-17@ PITL 7-4400000010100.254.323.343.666
09-16@ PITW 5-4411000000100.261.326.352.678
09-15@ PITW 5-1311100200000.261.328.354.682
09-13vs CINL 4-3300000000100.259.330.348.678
09-11vs CINW 20-0512000000100.265.335.355.690
09-08vs CHCW 4-3 F/10501000100200.260.333.353.687
09-07vs CHCW 4-3411000000100.262.337.359.696
09-05@ CINL 5-3400000110200.262.340.362.701
09-04@ CINW 10-7300000000200.270.344.372.716
09-02@ CHCW 9-5311000111100.276.351.381.732
09-01@ CHCW 9-4411000000100.275.342.382.724
08-31@ CHCL 17-3211100000000.276.345.386.731
08-30vs TEXL 7-4100000000000.272.343.376.719
08-29vs TEXW 5-3402000200200.274.345.379.724
08-27@ NYMW 8-2411000010200.267.341.375.716
08-26@ NYMW 8-1412000010010.267.338.379.718
08-25@ NYML 3-2 F/10401000100200.259.328.375.703
08-23vs ATLL 4-2201010100000.259.331.380.710