StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Luis Campusano

San Diego Padres · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20vs MIA0
09-17@ COL0
09-16@ COL2
09-15@ COL0
09-13@ SF0
09-12@ SF1
09-12@ SF1
09-09vs WSH1
09-09vs WSH2
09-07vs WSH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits11±0.8
Total Bases1±3.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits0.80+0.8
09-17Hits0.80+0.8
09-15Total Bases1.25−3.8
09-08Hits0.62−1.4
09-04Hits0.71−0.3
08-25Hits0.90+0.9
08-22Hits1.01+0.0
08-17Hits1.00+1.0
08-15Hits1.10+1.1
08-14Hits1.02−1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MIAW 7-6 F/10310000020100.263.363.439.802
09-17@ COLW 9-2400000000200.267.362.446.808
09-16@ COLL 9-3412001100000.273.368.455.823
09-15@ COLW 8-7500000000200.268.366.438.804
09-13@ SFW 6-4400000000000.275.374.450.824
09-12@ SFW 7-6501000000100.281.381.459.841
09-12@ SFW 7-5411100110100.283.386.467.852
09-09vs WSHW 9-2401000010000.284.385.466.851
09-09vs WSHW 5-4402000100100.285.385.471.856
09-07vs WSHW 3-2300000001100.280.383.470.853
09-06vs NYYW 4-3312001100000.285.385.479.864
09-05vs NYYL 5-1300000010100.278.381.457.838
09-05vs NYYW 3-2 F/10412001200000.283.384.465.849
09-02@ CINL 7-3400000000200.277.381.445.826
09-01@ CINL 4-3100000000100.285.390.457.847
08-31@ CINW 5-0402000000100.287.392.460.852
08-29@ TBL 7-6300000010100.281.390.459.848
08-26vs PITL 1-0300000000200.287.393.469.861
08-25vs PITL 3-2 F/12200000000100.293.400.479.879
08-23vs MINW 8-1310000010100.297.405.486.890