StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Leody Taveras

Baltimore Orioles · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20vs MIL0
09-19vs MIL1
09-18vs MIL1
09-16@ NYM0
09-15@ NYM0
09-13@ TOR1
09-12@ TOR0
09-11@ TOR0
09-09vs CLE2
09-08vs CLE1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.5
Total Bases1±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Hits0.60+0.6
08-10Hits0.61−0.4
08-08Hits0.50+0.5
08-05Hits0.51−0.5
07-27Hits0.51−0.5
07-22Total Bases1.00+1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MILL 3-0400000000000.216.286.339.625
09-19vs MILL 1-0201000010000.218.289.342.631
09-18vs MILL 6-5 F/10511000000100.216.286.341.627
09-16@ NYMW 7-1000000000000.217.287.343.630
09-15@ NYMW 7-5 F/11410000000300.217.287.343.630
09-13@ TORL 8-1401000000200.219.290.346.636
09-12@ TORL 7-3100000000100.218.290.347.637
09-11@ TORW 7-4100000000000.219.291.348.639
09-09vs CLEW 9-5412000100100.219.291.349.640
09-08vs CLEL 9-5411100100100.217.289.348.637
09-06vs BOSL 3-1200000000200.216.290.346.636
09-04vs BOSL 1-0300000000200.217.291.348.639
09-03vs BOSL 6-5400000000200.219.293.351.644
09-02@ COLL 6-5 F/11010000000000.221.296.354.650
09-02@ COLL 4-2400000000300.221.296.354.650
09-01@ COLW 2-1100000020001.224.299.358.656
08-30@ ATHW 8-5400000000300.224.296.359.655
08-30@ ATHW 5-3302200310010.227.299.363.661
08-29@ ATHW 4-3 F/10410000010200.223.294.355.649
08-27@ STLL 7-5400000000200.226.296.359.654