StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Lawrence Butler

Athletics · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ CLE0
09-19@ CLE1
09-18@ CLE0
09-17@ TB2
09-16@ TB1
09-15@ TB0
09-13vs SEA2
09-13vs SEA0
09-12vs SEA3
09-09vs TOR0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.3
Total Bases2±1.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.80+0.8
09-01Hits1.11+0.1
08-26Hits1.11+0.1
08-11Total Bases1.24−2.8
07-22Total Bases0.80+0.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0300000010201.228.321.385.706
09-19@ CLEL 12-6421000010000.230.321.387.709
09-18@ CLEL 5-3210000020101.230.321.389.709
09-17@ TBL 10-1412001100100.231.319.390.710
09-16@ TBL 4-3401000000200.228.318.382.700
09-15@ TBL 2-1400000000200.228.318.384.702
09-13vs SEAW 8-7422002401100.230.321.387.708
09-13vs SEAL 19-1300000010100.227.318.372.690
09-12vs SEAW 6-5 F/10513101200000.229.319.375.693
09-09vs TORW 2-0400000000000.225.316.362.678
09-09vs TORL 4-2400000000100.227.318.366.684
09-08vs TORW 6-5400000000300.229.321.369.691
09-06@ SEAL 2-0300000000100.231.324.373.697
09-06@ SEAW 6-2411001200100.233.326.376.702
09-05@ SEAW 7-6401000100200.233.327.370.696
09-04@ SEAW 7-4502000200200.233.327.371.698
09-02@ TEXW 9-2401000010200.231.327.370.697
09-02@ TEXL 8-5401000200100.230.326.372.697
09-01@ TEXL 8-1301000000200.230.327.373.700
08-30vs BALL 8-5301100210100.229.327.373.700