StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Lars Nootbaar

Arizona Diamondbacks · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits10±0.8
Total Bases6±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.72−1.3
09-19Hits0.70+0.7
09-14Hits0.83−2.2
09-08Total Bases1.52−0.5
08-29Total Bases1.24−2.8
08-27Hits0.61−0.4
08-25Hits0.60+0.6
08-22Total Bases1.03−2.0
08-19Hits0.61−0.4
08-11Hits0.60+0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs NYYW 8-4322100000100.237.339.376.715
09-20vs NYYW 5-3300000000100.232.336.369.704
09-19vs NYYL 9-2400000000200.235.339.373.712
09-17vs MIAL 4-3400000010100.238.343.379.722
09-16vs MIAL 4-2 F/11500000010400.242.346.385.731
09-15vs MIAW 8-7523001200100.247.349.393.742
09-13vs TEXL 7-6302000000000.240.345.376.721
09-13vs TEXL 6-2200000000000.234.342.372.714
09-12vs TEXW 9-1000000020000.236.344.376.720
09-09@ KCL 5-2200000010000.236.339.376.715
09-08@ KCW 5-3 F/11302000000100.238.339.379.718
09-07@ KCW 5-4 F/10000000100000.233.336.375.711
09-06@ HOUW 3-2100000000100.233.337.375.712
09-05@ HOUW 4-3 F/10302100110000.234.338.377.715
09-05@ HOUL 3-1300000010100.228.332.368.700
09-02vs PHIW 1-0401000000100.231.333.373.707
09-01vs PHIL 2-1200000010000.231.335.376.710
08-30@ SFL 7-2301100110200.233.335.379.714
08-29@ SFW 7-1111001400000.231.332.375.707
08-29@ SFW 10-6423101100100.228.329.358.687