StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Kyle Schwarber

Philadelphia Phillies · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

3/1030% cleared overavg 0.4
09-20@ NYM0
09-19@ NYM1
09-18@ NYM0
09-17@ NYM0
09-16@ WSH0
09-15@ WSH1
09-13@ ATL2
09-12@ ATL0
09-11@ ATL0
09-10vs HOU0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits12±0.7
Total Bases9±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Hits0.80+0.8
09-10Hits0.90+0.9
09-01Total Bases1.70+1.7
08-31Total Bases2.10+2.1
08-30Hits0.91−0.1
08-29Hits0.90+0.9
08-24Hits1.00+1.0
08-23Hits1.010.0
08-22Hits0.92−1.1
08-13Hits0.82−1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ NYMW 7-2120000040000.234.355.512.867
09-19@ NYML 10-3411100010200.235.352.513.864
09-18@ NYML 6-3200000011100.235.351.513.864
09-17@ NYMW 3-0400000010100.236.351.514.865
09-16@ WSHW 3-0400000010200.237.352.518.870
09-15@ WSHL 6-3321001110000.239.353.522.875
09-13@ ATLW 9-4402000210000.238.352.518.869
09-12@ ATLL 12-2400000000200.236.350.518.868
09-11@ ATLL 6-5 F/11500000000300.238.352.522.874
09-10vs HOUL 2-1300000010200.241.355.527.882
09-09vs HOUW 11-7511001400300.242.356.530.885
09-08vs HOUL 6-5511000100000.242.357.527.884
09-07vs ATLW 1-0412001100100.243.358.530.888
09-06vs ATLL 5-4321001110000.241.357.524.882
09-05vs ATLW 4-2322001220000.240.356.520.876
09-04vs ATLL 5-2400000000100.238.353.513.866
09-02@ ARIL 1-0400000000200.240.355.517.872
09-02@ ARIW 7-1310000110200.241.357.521.879
09-01@ ARIW 2-1300000010000.243.359.524.883
08-30@ LAAW 5-2411000010100.244.359.527.887