StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Kyle Karros

Colorado Rockies · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Day-To-Day · Back · expected back 2026-09-22

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20vs SEA0
09-19vs SEA1
09-17vs SD1
09-17vs SD1
09-16vs SD1
09-15vs SD2
09-12@ DET1
09-11@ DET0
09-10@ NYY1
09-09@ NYY1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases6±1.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Total Bases1.34−2.7
09-14Total Bases1.23−1.8
08-09Total Bases1.21+0.2
07-19Total Bases1.91+0.9
07-17Total Bases1.90+1.9
07-12Total Bases2.00+2.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SEAW 5-3200000020000.258.353.420.773
09-19vs SEAL 5-4501000000200.259.352.422.774
09-17vs SDL 9-2401000100100.260.354.425.779
09-17vs SDL 9-3311001210000.260.355.427.782
09-16vs SDW 9-3411000010000.259.353.420.773
09-15vs SDL 8-7502100000000.259.353.422.774
09-12@ DETL 11-7401000001100.258.352.419.771
09-11@ DETL 6-2400000000000.258.352.421.773
09-10@ NYYL 10-3411001100300.261.355.426.781
09-09@ NYYL 6-1401010000100.261.356.419.775
09-08@ NYYL 5-3300000000100.261.357.415.773
08-23vs CLEL 4-3200000000100.263.360.419.779
08-22vs CLEL 9-1401000010000.265.362.422.783
08-12@ ARIW 3-2311001200000.265.361.424.785
08-11@ ARIL 9-0400000000200.264.361.415.777
08-09@ STLL 7-4401000000000.267.365.420.785
08-08@ STLW 8-6210000111020.267.366.422.789
08-08@ STLL 3-2200000000000.269.366.425.791
08-05vs TBL 4-0402000000000.271.368.428.795
08-05vs TBL 9-7 F/11410000010100.268.366.427.793