StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Kody Clemens

Minnesota Twins · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20@ LAA0
09-19@ LAA0
09-18@ LAA1
09-16vs NYY1
09-15vs NYY1
09-14vs NYY0
09-13vs CLE1
09-12vs CLE1
09-12vs CLE2
09-09@ DET1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases5±1.1
Hits5±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-17Total Bases1.91+0.9
09-16Hits0.91−0.1
08-31Hits1.01−0.0
08-29Hits1.00+1.0
08-25Hits0.90+0.9
08-19Hits0.82−1.3
08-12Total Bases1.51+0.5
07-22Total Bases2.02+0.0
07-19Total Bases2.20+2.2
07-17Total Bases2.10+2.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAW 8-0400000000000.238.299.462.761
09-19@ LAAW 3-0410000000000.240.301.465.767
09-18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10301000010100.242.304.469.773
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13401000010210.241.302.470.772
09-15vs NYYL 8-1401010000000.241.301.472.773
09-14vs NYYL 8-3510000000100.241.302.469.771
09-13vs CLEL 9-2301100110100.243.305.474.779
09-12vs CLEW 4-3411000100200.243.303.473.776
09-12vs CLEL 5-2412000000000.243.303.475.778
09-09@ DETL 7-2411001100100.241.302.475.777
09-08@ DETW 3-2311001210000.240.302.470.773
09-07@ DETL 5-4401000010200.240.301.465.765
09-06@ CHWL 10-1300000000100.240.300.467.766
09-05@ CHWW 6-4300000110000.241.302.470.771
09-04@ CHWL 4-1403000000000.243.302.473.775
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12421000011100.238.298.470.769
09-01vs DETW 15-2321001110100.238.296.472.768
08-31vs DETW 11-1221001210100.238.294.466.761
08-30vs CHWW 5-1400000000100.236.293.459.752
08-29vs CHWL 3-2300000010100.239.295.464.759