StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Kazuma Okamoto

Toronto Blue Jays · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX1
09-16vs DET0
09-15vs DET1
09-14vs DET1
09-13vs BAL1
09-12vs BAL1
09-11vs BAL2
09-09@ ATH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases2.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.6
Total Bases4±3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits1.01−0.0
09-16Hits1.00+1.0
09-05Total Bases1.86−4.2
08-25Hits0.90+0.9
08-22Hits0.91−0.1
08-19Hits0.81−0.2
08-13Hits0.90+0.9
07-26Hits0.70+0.7
07-24Total Bases1.36−4.7
07-23Total Bases1.40+1.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TEXW 7-2501000100100.235.310.459.769
09-19@ TEXL 6-2401000000000.235.311.461.772
09-19@ TEXL 7-1301000010100.235.311.463.774
09-16vs DETW 5-1310000010100.235.310.464.774
09-15vs DETL 10-1401000000100.236.310.466.777
09-14vs DETL 6-5411001300100.236.311.468.779
09-13vs BALW 8-1311001110000.236.311.464.775
09-12vs BALW 7-3201000020000.235.310.459.769
09-11vs BALL 7-4412101100100.234.307.459.766
09-09@ ATHL 2-0400000000300.232.306.451.756
09-09@ ATHW 4-2412001100000.234.308.454.762
09-08@ ATHL 6-5211001120000.232.306.448.754
09-06@ KCL 6-1400000000100.231.303.442.745
09-05@ KCW 4-3504200200000.233.305.445.751
09-05@ KCW 9-2501000100200.227.301.438.739
09-02@ CLEW 11-0400000000300.227.302.440.742
09-01@ CLEL 6-1311000000200.229.304.444.748
08-30vs SEAW 7-0321001110000.228.304.444.748
08-29vs SEAW 4-3200000020100.228.302.439.741
08-28vs SEAW 8-1311001300000.229.301.441.742