StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Juan Soto

New York Mets · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20vs PHI1
09-19vs PHI1
09-18vs PHI3
09-17vs PHI0
09-16vs BAL0
09-15vs BAL2
09-14vs BAL1
09-13@ NYY0
09-12@ NYY2
09-11@ NYY1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases7±1.5
Hits1±0.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-17Total Bases1.70+1.7
09-09Total Bases1.60+1.6
09-06Hits0.71−0.3
09-05Total Bases1.30+1.3
09-04Total Bases1.50+1.5
07-21Total Bases1.70+1.7
07-20Total Bases1.70+1.7
07-16Total Bases1.91+0.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2401000000100.273.389.520.909
09-19vs PHIW 10-3501000100300.273.391.523.913
09-18vs PHIW 6-3513101300000.274.393.527.920
09-17vs PHIL 3-0200000020000.270.390.515.906
09-16vs BALL 7-1400000000000.271.389.518.907
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/11512000110100.275.393.524.917
09-14vs BALL 2-1301000010110.273.392.526.917
09-13@ NYYL 2-0400000000200.272.390.527.918
09-12@ NYYW 12-2522101100100.275.394.533.928
09-11@ NYYL 6-4501000000200.274.394.524.918
09-09@ MIAW 15-14500000010100.275.397.528.925
09-08@ MIAW 7-5422101310000.279.400.536.936
09-07@ MIAW 9-4522000010100.276.397.525.922
09-06vs SFW 4-2311000010000.274.396.526.922
09-05vs SFL 9-5400000000000.274.395.528.923
09-04vs SFW 10-6410000110010.277.399.535.934
09-02@ TBW 10-4512001100100.281.402.542.944
09-01@ TBL 6-2400000000000.279.402.534.936
08-31@ TBW 3-2100000000100.282.406.542.948
08-30vs HOUL 6-3311001110100.283.407.543.950