StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Josh Naylor

Seattle Mariners · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.3
Total Bases1±1.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-10Hits1.10+1.1
09-06Hits1.01+0.0
09-01Total Bases1.33−1.7
08-25Hits1.31+0.3
08-13Hits1.11+0.1
07-27Hits1.11+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ COLW 2-1400000000001.268.323.359.682
09-20@ COLL 5-3400000000000.270.325.361.686
09-19@ COLW 5-4401000200000.272.327.364.691
09-17@ LAAW 7-2502100200020.272.327.365.692
09-16@ LAAL 2-1402000000100.271.327.363.689
09-15@ LAAL 6-4400000000000.269.326.362.687
09-13@ ATHL 8-7412000010000.271.328.364.692
09-13@ ATHW 19-1513100100000.270.325.363.689
09-12@ ATHL 6-5 F/10522000000010.267.323.359.682
09-10vs TEXW 4-3300000000200.265.322.359.681
09-09vs TEXW 3-2411000000000.267.324.361.685
09-09vs TEXL 10-5411000000100.267.325.362.686
09-06vs ATHW 2-0301000000000.267.325.363.688
09-06vs ATHL 6-2400000000000.267.325.363.688
09-05vs ATHL 7-6403100100000.269.327.366.693
09-04vs ATHL 7-4500000000200.265.324.361.685
09-02@ BOSW 8-3501000100010.268.327.364.692
09-01@ BOSW 9-6522100000000.268.328.366.694
08-31@ BOSL 9-8 F/10400000010100.267.328.363.691
08-30@ TORL 7-0300000000200.269.329.366.695