StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jordan Lawlar

Arizona Diamondbacks · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared underavg 0.8
09-20vs NYY0
09-20vs NYY1
09-17vs MIA0
09-16vs MIA1
09-15vs MIA2
09-13vs TEX1
09-13vs TEX0
09-12vs TEX1
09-09@ KC2
09-08@ KC0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Hits0.71−0.3
09-13Hits0.61−0.4
09-07Hits0.70+0.7
08-25Hits0.90+0.9
08-19Hits0.90+0.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs NYYW 8-4200000000100.259.325.446.772
09-20vs NYYW 5-3401010200100.264.331.455.785
09-17vs MIAL 4-3000000000001.264.333.443.777
09-16vs MIAL 4-2 F/11501000000400.264.333.443.777
09-15vs MIAW 8-7422001200110.267.339.455.795
09-13vs TEXL 7-6201100111000.258.333.423.756
09-13vs TEXL 6-2200000000100.253.317.411.728
09-12vs TEXW 9-1411100000000.258.324.419.743
09-09@ KCL 5-2412000000000.258.327.416.742
09-08@ KCW 5-3 F/11100000000000.247.319.412.731
09-07@ KCW 5-4 F/10300000000200.250.323.417.739
09-06@ HOUW 3-2300000001200.259.333.432.765
09-05@ HOUL 3-1200000000200.269.337.449.786
09-02vs PHIW 1-0300000000200.276.345.461.806
09-02vs PHIL 7-1312001100000.288.358.479.837
09-01vs PHIL 2-1000000010000.271.346.429.775
08-29@ SFW 7-1401000100100.271.338.429.766
08-29@ SFW 10-6400000000100.273.342.439.782
08-26vs CHCW 2-0312001100100.290.362.468.830
08-26vs CHCW 5-4200000001100.271.348.407.755