StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Jonah Heim

Athletics · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.4
09-20@ CLE1
09-18@ CLE0
09-17@ TB0
09-15@ TB0
09-13vs SEA1
09-12vs SEA1
09-09vs TOR0
09-08vs TOR0
09-06@ SEA0
09-05@ SEA1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±0.7
Total Bases3±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-02Hits0.71−0.3
09-01Hits0.62−1.4
08-31Total Bases0.92−1.1
08-29Hits0.60+0.6
08-28Hits0.51−0.5
08-24Hits0.50+0.5
08-22Total Bases0.80+0.8
08-09Total Bases1.52−0.5
07-26Hits0.80+0.8
07-21Hits0.80+0.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0301100000000.204.260.370.630
09-18@ CLEL 5-3300000000100.203.259.368.627
09-17@ TBL 10-1400000000000.205.262.371.633
09-15@ TBL 2-1300000000100.207.264.375.640
09-13vs SEAL 19-1401000000100.209.267.379.645
09-12vs SEAW 6-5 F/10401000000100.209.267.380.647
09-09vs TORL 4-2300000000000.208.267.382.649
09-08vs TORW 6-5400000000200.210.269.386.655
09-06@ SEAW 6-2300000010100.213.272.390.663
09-05@ SEAW 7-6401000000100.215.273.394.667
09-04@ SEAW 7-4511100000000.214.273.396.669
09-02@ TEXW 9-2511001100200.215.274.396.670
09-02@ TEXL 8-5502000000000.215.275.389.664
09-01@ TEXL 8-1301100000000.212.273.389.662
08-30vs BALL 8-5100000000000.210.273.386.659
08-30vs BALL 5-3311000010000.211.274.388.661
08-29vs BALL 4-3 F/10411001100100.210.271.388.659
08-27vs MINW 7-4412000000100.209.271.379.650
08-25vs MINL 9-6411000000100.205.268.378.646
08-22@ HOUW 4-3400000100100.204.268.380.648