StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jonah Cox

San Francisco Giants · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20@ LAD0
09-20@ LAD0
09-19@ LAD1
09-16@ STL3
09-15@ STL1
09-14@ STL1
09-13vs SD1
09-12vs SD1
09-12vs SD2
09-09vs STL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.8
Total Bases1±4.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-28Hits0.50+0.5
08-26Hits0.31−0.7
08-23Total Bases0.55−4.5
08-19Hits0.30+0.3
08-18Hits0.22−1.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LADL 3-1310000010210.281.324.422.745
09-20@ LADL 10-4300000100300.288.326.432.758
09-19@ LADL 8-2301000100200.295.333.443.776
09-16@ STLW 6-5 F/10413000110121.294.333.445.779
09-15@ STLW 10-3421000000210.278.314.435.749
09-14@ STLL 2-1401000100201.279.316.441.758
09-13vs SDL 6-4501000000300.280.319.449.767
09-12vs SDL 7-6401000000000.284.324.461.785
09-12vs SDL 7-5422000010110.286.327.469.796
09-09vs STLW 7-6411000100101.277.313.468.781
09-09vs STLW 2-1300000000000.278.316.478.794
09-08vs STLW 5-4 F/11401000000200.287.326.494.820
09-06@ NYML 4-2411000000100.289.330.506.836
09-05@ NYMW 9-5511000000100.291.333.519.852
09-04@ NYML 10-6222000000000.297.342.541.882
09-03@ PITL 5-2310000010110.278.325.528.852
09-02@ PITW 5-4 F/10100000000000.290.329.551.879
09-01@ PITL 13-12512100110200.294.333.559.892
08-31@ ATLW 7-3512001200100.286.318.556.874
08-30vs ARIW 7-2111000010030.276.311.517.829