StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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John Peck

Detroit Tigers · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.5
09-20@ CHW0
09-19@ CHW0
09-18@ CHW0
09-17@ CHW1
09-16@ TOR0
09-15@ TOR1
09-13vs COL1
09-12vs COL1
09-11vs COL0
09-09vs MIN1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases2±0.6
Hits1±0.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Total Bases0.60+0.6
09-18Total Bases0.70+0.7
09-12Hits0.61−0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CHWL 8-1300000010201.196.323.216.538
09-19@ CHWL 3-1300000010100.208.328.229.557
09-18@ CHWW 11-8000000000000.222.333.244.578
09-17@ CHWL 3-1401000000100.222.333.244.578
09-16@ TORL 5-1400000000100.220.340.244.584
09-15@ TORW 10-1301000110100.243.370.270.640
09-13vs COLW 8-1311000110010.235.357.265.622
09-12vs COLW 11-7401000100100.226.342.258.600
09-11vs COLW 6-2200000020010.222.364.259.623
09-09vs MINW 7-2311000110110.240.345.280.625
09-07vs MINW 5-4301000001110.227.320.273.593
09-06@ CLEL 3-2 F/10400000000200.211.286.263.549
09-05@ CLEW 6-0302000010000.267.353.333.686
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10300000000200.167.231.250.481
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12512100301100.222.300.333.633
09-01@ MINL 15-2400000000000.000.000.000.000