StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jo Adell

Cleveland Guardians · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20vs ATH1
09-19vs ATH2
09-18vs ATH1
09-16vs CHW1
09-15vs CHW1
09-14vs CHW1
09-13@ MIN2
09-12@ MIN1
09-12@ MIN0
09-09@ BAL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.8
Total Bases4±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Hits0.91−0.1
09-12Total Bases1.21+0.2
09-09Total Bases1.21+0.2
08-25Hits1.00+1.0
08-22Total Bases1.65−3.4
08-04Hits0.82−1.2
07-27Total Bases1.72−0.3
07-19Hits0.70+0.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs ATHW 1-0401000100000.241.295.401.696
09-19vs ATHW 12-6512000000100.241.296.402.698
09-18vs ATHW 5-3401000000200.240.295.402.697
09-16vs CHWW 6-3301000210200.239.295.403.698
09-15vs CHWW 7-6411001200000.239.294.404.697
09-14vs CHWL 7-3411000000100.239.294.399.693
09-13@ MINW 9-2522101200000.239.294.400.695
09-12@ MINL 4-3411000000100.237.294.393.687
09-12@ MINW 5-2400000000300.237.294.394.688
09-09@ BALL 9-5501000000300.239.296.397.693
09-08@ BALW 9-5311000111000.239.297.399.695
09-07@ BALL 6-4412100100100.239.294.399.693
09-06vs DETW 3-2 F/10400000000200.237.293.397.689
09-05vs DETL 6-0200000001200.239.295.400.694
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10400000000000.240.294.401.696
09-04vs DETW 7-6301000100100.241.296.404.701
09-03vs TORL 6-3421000010100.241.297.405.701
09-02vs TORL 11-0300000000000.241.296.406.702
09-01vs TORW 6-1402100000000.242.297.408.706
08-30vs KCW 11-1413100310000.240.296.406.702