StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

JJ Bleday

Cincinnati Reds · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared underavg 0.7
09-20vs CHC1
09-19vs CHC1
09-18vs CHC1
09-16vs LAD1
09-15vs LAD0
09-14vs LAD0
09-13@ MIL1
09-12@ MIL2
09-11@ MIL0
09-10@ LAD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.8
Total Bases1±2.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.71−0.3
09-12Hits0.62−1.4
08-30Hits0.81−0.3
08-15Hits0.61−0.4
08-06Hits0.62−1.4
07-31Total Bases1.44−2.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs CHCL 9-1311001110000.215.325.415.740
09-19vs CHCL 5-2411000000100.214.324.409.732
09-18vs CHCW 6-4311000010100.214.324.410.734
09-16vs LADW 6-2401000000000.213.323.411.733
09-15vs LADL 4-0300000000000.213.323.412.736
09-14vs LADL 4-1200000010100.214.325.415.740
09-13@ MILW 4-3301000010200.215.325.417.742
09-12@ MILL 13-9522100100100.215.324.417.741
09-11@ MILL 20-0300000000100.212.323.415.738
09-10@ LADL 14-1200000010200.214.325.418.743
09-09@ LADL 3-2400000000200.215.325.420.745
09-08@ LADL 6-3300000000200.217.328.424.752
09-06vs MILW 12-8500000000100.219.330.428.757
09-05vs MILW 5-3411000000200.221.333.433.766
09-04vs MILL 10-7200000020100.221.334.435.769
09-02vs SDW 7-3423101200000.222.333.437.769
09-01vs SDW 4-3401000100100.217.329.423.752
08-31vs SDL 5-0300000010000.216.330.425.755
08-30@ CHCW 7-5301000010000.218.330.429.759
08-29@ CHCL 17-5300000100100.217.329.429.758