StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Jeremiah Jackson

Baltimore Orioles · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.5
09-20vs MIL0
09-19vs MIL1
09-18vs MIL0
09-16@ NYM1
09-15@ NYM1
09-13@ TOR0
09-12@ TOR1
09-09vs CLE1
08-18vs NYY0
08-17@ TB0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.4 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.40+0.4
09-19Hits0.41−0.6
09-15Hits0.31−0.7
08-11Hits0.40+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MILL 3-0400000000100.221.247.366.614
09-19vs MILL 1-0401000000000.225.251.372.623
09-18vs MILL 6-5 F/10500000000300.224.251.374.625
09-16@ NYMW 7-1411001200200.229.256.382.637
09-15@ NYMW 7-5 F/11411001100200.229.256.371.627
09-13@ TORL 8-1100000000100.228.256.361.617
09-12@ TORL 7-3201100000100.229.257.363.619
09-09vs CLEW 9-5411000100200.227.255.357.612
08-18vs NYYL 3-1100000000100.226.255.359.614
08-17@ TBL 7-6400000000300.227.256.361.617
08-16@ TBW 10-2100000000000.231.260.367.627
08-14@ TBW 6-5000000010000.232.261.368.630
08-11@ MINW 5-2400000000100.232.258.368.627
08-10@ MINL 9-5100000000100.237.263.375.638
08-09@ TEXW 10-5100000000100.238.264.377.641
08-08@ TEXL 2-1100000000000.239.265.378.643
08-06vs LAAL 4-1300000010000.240.266.380.646
08-05vs LAAW 5-2200000000000.243.266.385.652
07-29@ DETW 10-9 F/12210000010000.245.269.389.658
07-27@ DETW 8-5300000101000.248.268.393.660