StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jarren Duran

Boston Red Sox · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.5
Total Bases1±0

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Hits0.60+0.6
09-11Hits0.81−0.3
09-09Hits0.72−1.3
09-07Hits0.62−1.4
08-31Hits0.81−0.2
08-26Hits0.91−0.1
08-16Hits0.91−0.1
08-07Hits0.91−0.1
07-17Total Bases1.01+0.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TBL 5-1300000010000.204.261.362.624
09-19@ TBL 2-1302010000000.206.262.364.626
09-18@ TEXW 4-3200000000100.203.259.359.618
09-17@ TEXL 7-3100000000000.204.260.360.621
09-16@ TEXL 4-2200000001200.204.261.361.622
09-13vs KCW 4-1100000000000.205.260.362.623
09-12vs KCW 5-1400000000100.205.261.363.624
09-11vs KCL 3-2401000000210.207.263.366.629
09-09vs LAAL 6-4322000010000.207.263.367.630
09-07vs LAAW 5-2412101100100.204.259.365.624
09-06@ BALW 3-1400000000100.202.258.356.614
09-05@ BALW 5-0310000010200.203.259.359.618
09-04@ BALW 1-0401000000100.204.260.361.621
09-03@ BALW 6-5400000000300.204.260.362.622
09-02vs SEAL 8-3400000000000.206.262.365.626
09-01vs SEAL 9-6401000000100.207.263.368.631
08-31vs SEAW 9-8 F/10411001210000.207.264.369.632
08-30@ NYYL 16-1300000000000.207.262.364.626
08-29@ NYYL 9-2300000000000.208.264.366.630
08-28@ NYYL 1-0200000000100.209.265.368.633