StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jared Triolo

Pittsburgh Pirates · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases6±0.9
Hits6±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-17Total Bases0.71−0.3
09-13Hits0.60+0.6
08-30Total Bases1.04−3.0
08-28Hits0.72−1.3
08-23Total Bases0.80+0.8
08-22Hits0.61−0.4
08-21Total Bases0.80+0.8
08-17Hits0.60+0.6
08-09Hits0.50+0.5
08-06Total Bases0.60+0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs KCW 6-5010000000000.241.311.307.618
09-18vs KCW 8-5100000000000.241.311.307.618
09-17vs MILW 7-4411000000100.241.312.308.620
09-16vs MILL 5-4100000000100.241.313.309.622
09-15vs MILL 5-1100000000000.242.314.310.624
09-13@ CHCW 4-3200000000100.243.315.311.626
09-12@ CHCL 4-3100000000000.244.317.313.629
09-11@ CHCL 12-2400000000000.245.318.314.631
09-10@ CHWW 2-0211000010020.248.321.318.639
09-09@ CHWW 4-2101000000000.247.318.317.635
09-05vs LAAL 6-1201000000000.244.316.314.631
09-03vs SFW 5-2300000200210.242.315.313.628
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10200000000000.245.319.316.635
09-01vs SFW 13-12411000110000.247.321.318.639
08-30@ STLW 5-4411001110200.247.320.319.639
08-29@ STLW 6-2401000000200.246.318.310.628
08-29@ STLL 4-1302000100000.246.319.311.630
08-26@ SDL 3-0201000000000.242.316.307.623
08-26@ SDW 1-0301000000000.240.315.305.620
08-25@ SDW 3-2 F/12412000010010.239.315.305.620