StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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James Wood

Washington Nationals · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20@ STL0
09-19@ STL2
09-19@ STL1
09-16vs PHI0
09-15vs PHI0
09-13vs LAA2
09-12vs LAA1
09-11vs LAA1
09-09@ SD1
09-09@ SD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±2.1
Hits2±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
07-29Hits1.12−0.9
07-28Total Bases2.40+2.4
07-22Total Bases2.70+2.7
07-21Total Bases2.74−1.3
07-20Hits1.21+0.2
07-17Total Bases2.91+1.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ STLL 5-3400000000200.265.390.513.903
09-19@ STLW 8-5 F/11512000000100.267.392.517.910
09-19@ STLW 9-1301100110000.266.392.519.911
09-16vs PHIL 3-0400000000000.265.391.518.909
09-15vs PHIW 6-3100000000100.267.394.522.916
09-13vs LAAW 6-5402000010100.268.395.523.918
09-12vs LAAW 6-5 F/10411000010320.266.393.523.916
09-11vs LAAW 4-3301000110110.266.393.526.919
09-09@ SDL 9-2301000010100.266.392.527.919
09-09@ SDL 5-4400000000200.265.391.528.920
09-07@ SDL 3-2401100000000.268.394.533.927
09-07@ LADL 7-5201000030001.268.395.533.928
09-06@ LADL 6-5411000010110.267.392.533.925
09-05@ LADL 5-3502200100200.267.392.536.927
09-02vs ATLL 9-0401000000100.265.391.533.924
08-03@ PHIL 6-3401000000100.265.393.535.928
08-02@ ATLL 4-2300000100100.266.394.538.932
08-01@ ATLL 8-3310000010100.267.397.542.938
07-31@ ATLL 6-2501000000200.269.398.546.943
07-30@ ATLL 5-4210000030010.270.400.550.949