StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Jake McCarthy

Colorado Rockies · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 1.4
09-20vs SEA1
09-20vs SEA1
09-19vs SEA3
09-17vs SD1
09-17vs SD0
09-16vs SD2
09-15vs SD2
09-13@ DET0
09-12@ DET1
09-11@ DET3

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.3 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases2.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.6
Total Bases3±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Hits1.22−0.8
09-01Total Bases1.53−1.5
08-31Total Bases1.51+0.5
08-01Hits1.02−1.0
07-21Total Bases2.23−0.8
07-17Hits1.01+0.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SEAL 2-1401010000100.297.340.490.830
09-20vs SEAW 5-3511000100000.298.341.488.829
09-19vs SEAL 5-4513010200110.298.342.490.833
09-17vs SDL 9-2311010000000.295.340.485.825
09-17vs SDL 9-3310000010110.295.340.482.822
09-16vs SDW 9-3512000000000.297.341.485.826
09-15vs SDL 8-7512110200000.296.340.486.826
09-13@ DETL 8-1200000001100.295.340.481.820
09-12@ DETL 11-7411000201000.296.340.483.822
09-11@ DETL 6-2503000000000.297.339.485.824
09-10@ NYYL 10-3502010100100.293.337.483.820
09-09@ NYYL 6-1401000000100.292.336.480.816
09-08@ NYYL 5-3401000000100.293.337.482.819
09-06vs STLL 10-8523001300000.293.337.484.821
09-06vs STLW 10-7321000020020.290.335.476.811
09-05vs STLL 7-6410000010110.289.332.477.809
09-02vs BALW 6-5 F/11402110110100.292.333.481.815
09-02vs BALW 4-2502100100000.290.331.475.805
09-01vs BALL 2-1501000000010.289.330.473.803
08-30@ ATLL 3-2 F/10411001100000.290.331.476.808