StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jake Mangum

Pittsburgh Pirates · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20vs KC0
09-19vs KC1
09-16vs MIL1
09-15vs MIL0
09-13@ CHC2
09-12@ CHC0
09-11@ CHC1
09-10@ CHW0
09-08@ CHW2
09-05vs LAA0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.4
Total Bases5±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.80+0.8
08-18Hits0.91−0.1
08-12Hits1.10+1.1
08-09Total Bases1.55−3.5
08-04Hits1.11+0.1
08-03Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-28Total Bases1.43−1.6
07-27Hits1.11+0.1
07-26Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-25Total Bases1.41+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3300000010100.279.336.370.706
09-19vs KCW 6-5311001200000.281.337.373.710
09-16vs MILL 5-4401000000100.281.337.366.703
09-15vs MILL 5-1400000000000.281.338.367.705
09-13@ CHCW 4-3302100010001.284.341.370.711
09-12@ CHCL 4-3400000000100.281.337.366.703
09-11@ CHCL 12-2401000000000.284.340.369.710
09-10@ CHWW 2-0300000000010.284.341.371.712
09-08@ CHWW 9-3512100000010.286.343.373.717
09-05vs LAAL 6-1400000000100.285.343.370.713
09-04vs LAAW 1-0301100100000.288.346.374.720
09-03vs SFW 5-2121000111000.288.346.372.718
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10401000000100.286.341.370.712
09-01vs SFW 13-12100000000000.286.342.372.714
08-30@ STLW 5-4401000000200.287.343.373.716
08-29@ STLW 6-2412000000100.287.344.374.718
08-29@ STLL 4-1310000001100.285.343.373.715
08-26@ SDL 3-0300000001000.287.343.376.719
08-26@ SDW 1-0300000010201.290.344.379.723
08-25@ SDW 3-2 F/12200000000000.292.345.382.727