StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jake Burger

Texas Rangers · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared overavg 0.5
09-20vs TOR1
09-19vs TOR0
09-19vs TOR1
09-18vs BOS0
09-17vs BOS2
09-16vs BOS0
09-13@ ARI0
09-13@ ARI1
09-12@ ARI0
09-10@ SEA0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±1.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-23Total Bases1.40+1.4
08-14Total Bases1.14−2.9
07-20Total Bases1.24−2.8
07-18Total Bases1.21+0.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs TORL 7-2311001210000.233.307.428.735
09-19vs TORW 6-2400000000300.232.306.423.728
09-19vs TORW 7-1211100220100.234.308.426.734
09-18vs BOSL 4-3310000010000.233.305.424.729
09-17vs BOSW 7-3412100110100.234.306.426.732
09-16vs BOSW 4-2300000010100.232.303.424.727
09-13@ ARIW 7-6400000000100.233.304.426.730
09-13@ ARIW 6-2411000000110.235.306.429.735
09-12@ ARIL 9-1310000010200.235.306.431.737
09-10@ SEAL 4-3300000010100.237.306.433.740
09-09@ SEAL 3-2311001110100.238.307.436.743
09-09@ SEAW 10-5320000020300.237.305.431.736
09-06vs TBW 8-6432002310200.239.305.433.738
09-05vs TBL 6-3 F/10401000000100.237.302.420.722
09-05vs TBL 7-6121000030000.237.302.422.724
09-04vs TBW 6-0301000100100.235.297.421.718
09-02vs ATHL 9-2400000000200.234.297.421.719
09-02vs ATHW 8-5300000000100.236.300.425.724
09-01vs ATHW 8-1412100100000.238.301.427.729
08-30@ MILW 7-4501000100100.236.300.425.724