StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jake Bauers

Milwaukee Brewers · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20@ BAL1
09-18@ BAL0
09-16@ PIT1
09-15@ PIT1
09-13vs CIN1
09-12vs CIN1
09-11vs CIN2
09-08vs CHC0
09-07vs CHC0
09-06@ CIN1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±1
Total Bases6±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.80+0.8
09-11Hits0.72−1.3
09-04Total Bases1.51+0.5
08-16Hits1.04−3.0
08-12Hits1.01+0.0
08-01Hits0.91−0.1
07-27Total Bases1.31+0.3
07-25Total Bases1.32−0.7
07-22Total Bases1.60+1.6
07-20Hits0.80+0.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ BALW 3-0221100020001.269.397.497.893
09-18@ BALW 6-5 F/10200000010100.268.394.494.889
09-16@ PITW 5-4311100020210.269.394.497.891
09-15@ PITW 5-1411000000200.269.393.496.888
09-13vs CINL 4-3411001100100.269.394.498.891
09-12vs CINW 13-9421000210200.269.395.493.888
09-11vs CINW 20-0512001200100.270.395.495.890
09-08vs CHCW 4-3 F/10300000000200.268.395.490.884
09-07vs CHCW 4-3000000010000.270.397.493.890
09-06@ CINL 12-8231001230001.270.396.493.889
09-05@ CINL 5-3000000010000.269.392.486.878
09-04@ CINW 10-7311000020100.269.391.486.876
09-03@ CHCL 2-1300000010100.268.389.487.875
09-02@ CHCW 9-5400000010200.270.390.490.880
09-01@ CHCW 9-4200000030100.273.392.495.887
08-31@ CHCL 17-3201000010000.274.389.498.887
08-30vs TEXL 7-4401000101200.273.388.498.885
08-29vs TEXW 5-3300000010300.273.388.500.888
08-28vs TEXW 6-1222000030010.275.389.504.892
08-25@ NYML 3-2 F/10100000010000.272.382.501.884