StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Jahmai Jones

Boston Red Sox · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 0.3
09-20@ TB0
09-18@ TB1
09-18@ TEX0
09-17@ TEX0
09-16@ TEX1
09-13vs KC0
09-11vs KC0
09-08vs LAA0
09-06@ BAL0
09-03@ BAL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.3 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.8
Total Bases2±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.41−0.6
09-17Hits0.40+0.4
09-16Hits0.40+0.4
09-15Hits0.41−0.6
09-13Hits0.40+0.4
09-08Hits0.60+0.6
08-29Total Bases1.00+1.0
08-08Hits0.33−2.6
07-29Hits0.31−0.7
07-28Total Bases0.52−1.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TBL 5-1100000000100.209.304.385.689
09-18@ TBW 4-2311001100100.211.305.388.693
09-18@ TEXW 4-3200000010000.208.305.368.673
09-17@ TEXL 7-3200000000000.211.304.373.678
09-16@ TEXL 4-2201000000100.214.308.379.687
09-13vs KCW 4-1400000000300.210.306.377.683
09-11vs KCL 3-2100000000000.216.314.388.702
09-08vs LAAL 6-1300000001200.218.316.391.707
09-06@ BALW 3-1100000000100.223.318.400.718
09-03@ BALW 6-5101000000000.225.320.403.723
09-01vs SEAL 9-6111001200000.219.315.398.714
08-29@ NYYL 9-2201000000000.213.310.370.680
08-29@ NYYW 6-0300000011200.208.308.368.676
08-28@ NYYL 1-0100000010000.213.304.377.681
08-26@ MIAL 4-0100000000000.215.301.380.682
08-25@ MIAW 7-3 F/11010000010000.217.304.383.687
08-23vs SFW 5-4212010000000.217.299.383.682
08-22vs SFW 3-2000000001000.203.288.356.644
08-19vs ARIL 7-6 F/10000000001000.203.282.356.638
08-15@ PITW 4-0201000100000.203.277.356.633