StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Jacob Young

Washington Nationals · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.5
09-20@ STL1
09-19@ STL0
09-19@ STL1
09-15vs PHI0
09-13vs LAA1
09-12vs LAA1
09-11vs LAA0
09-09@ SD1
09-09@ SD0
09-07@ SD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.8
Total Bases7±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Total Bases0.91−0.1
09-19Hits0.70+0.7
09-18Hits0.71−0.3
09-15Total Bases0.90+0.9
09-09Total Bases1.01−0.0
09-06Hits0.72−1.3
08-28Hits0.90+0.9
08-18Hits0.90+0.9
08-16Hits0.91−0.1
08-11Hits0.82−1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ STLL 5-3201000100001.249.317.389.706
09-19@ STLW 8-5 F/11010000100000.248.317.389.706
09-19@ STLW 9-1321100010000.248.317.389.706
09-15vs PHIW 6-3300000001000.247.315.387.702
09-13vs LAAW 6-5411100100010.249.316.389.705
09-12vs LAAW 6-5 F/10311000100100.249.317.388.705
09-11vs LAAW 4-3200000000200.248.316.389.705
09-09@ SDL 9-2301000000000.249.318.391.709
09-09@ SDL 5-4100000000000.249.318.391.709
09-07@ SDL 3-2300000000100.249.319.392.711
09-07@ LADL 7-5402000100000.251.321.395.716
09-05@ LADL 5-3000000020000.249.319.394.713
09-01vs ATLW 9-5412000100100.249.316.394.710
08-31vs MIAW 6-3300000010100.246.314.393.707
08-30vs MIAL 6-2211000000000.248.315.396.711
08-28vs MIAW 9-2310000010000.247.314.396.709
08-27vs COLW 7-1412100010020.249.314.399.713
08-26vs COLL 13-1300000000100.246.311.395.706
08-25vs COLL 3-1201100000010.248.313.398.711
08-24vs COLW 13-3522100000100.246.312.395.707