StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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J.T. Realmuto

Philadelphia Phillies · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20@ NYM0
09-19@ NYM0
09-18@ NYM0
09-16@ WSH0
09-15@ WSH0
09-13@ ATL3
09-12@ ATL2
09-11@ ATL0
09-09vs HOU1
09-08vs HOU0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±0.8
Hits2±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-22Hits0.72−1.3
08-16Hits0.70+0.7
08-06Total Bases1.23−1.8
07-20Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-19Total Bases1.41+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ NYMW 7-2210000020200.213.289.342.631
09-19@ NYML 10-3400000000200.214.287.344.631
09-18@ NYML 6-3400000000000.216.290.347.637
09-16@ WSHW 3-0400000010200.218.293.351.643
09-15@ WSHL 6-3400000000100.220.294.354.648
09-13@ ATLW 9-4523101300100.223.296.358.655
09-12@ ATLL 12-2202000000000.218.293.344.637
09-11@ ATLL 6-5 F/11310000001000.214.289.341.630
09-09vs HOUW 11-7411000000200.215.290.343.633
09-08vs HOUL 6-5400000000000.215.290.344.635
09-07vs ATLW 1-0300000000300.217.293.348.641
09-05vs ATLW 4-2300000110200.219.295.351.646
09-04vs ATLL 5-2200000010100.221.296.354.650
09-02@ ARIL 1-0300000000000.222.295.356.652
09-02@ ARIW 7-1511000000100.224.298.359.657
08-30@ LAAW 5-2322001110000.224.299.362.660
08-30@ LAAW 4-2 F/10410000000100.221.294.350.644
08-29@ LAAW 5-3310000010000.223.297.354.652
08-26@ SEAW 6-0401000000100.225.298.357.655
08-25@ SEAL 9-2311001100000.225.298.359.657