StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Ivan Herrera

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20vs WSH2
09-19vs WSH3
09-19vs WSH1
09-16vs SF0
09-15vs SF0
09-14vs SF0
09-13vs CHW0
09-12vs CHW0
09-12vs CHW0
09-09@ SF1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases5±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-09Total Bases1.71+0.7
08-05Total Bases1.32−0.7
07-28Total Bases1.20+1.2
07-24Total Bases1.00+1.0
07-22Total Bases1.10+1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs WSHW 5-3422002200100.247.358.388.746
09-19vs WSHL 8-5 F/11503100001100.245.358.377.734
09-19vs WSHL 9-1401000100100.242.355.373.728
09-16vs SFL 6-5 F/10000000010000.242.355.374.729
09-15vs SFL 10-3200000100100.242.355.374.728
09-14vs SFW 2-1310000010000.243.356.375.731
09-13vs CHWW 3-1410000000100.244.357.377.734
09-12vs CHWL 6-5300000020100.246.359.380.739
09-12vs CHWW 7-3410000001200.247.359.382.740
09-09@ SFL 7-6411000001100.249.360.384.744
09-09@ SFL 2-1501000000000.249.359.385.745
09-08@ SFL 5-4 F/11301000010100.250.361.387.748
09-06@ COLW 10-8523100200100.249.360.387.747
09-06@ COLL 10-7512001300200.246.358.384.742
09-05@ COLW 7-6511001300100.244.358.378.735
09-04@ LADL 3-2512000000000.245.359.374.733
09-03@ LADW 8-6 F/10400000010000.243.359.374.732
09-02@ LADW 13-8422000110200.245.360.376.736
08-30vs PITL 5-4502100200010.243.358.375.733
08-29vs PITL 6-2300000010000.242.357.373.731