StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Ildemaro Vargas

Arizona Diamondbacks · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.9
09-20vs NYY1
09-20vs NYY1
09-19vs NYY0
09-16vs MIA0
09-13vs TEX1
09-12vs TEX2
09-09@ KC1
09-08@ KC0
09-07@ KC2
09-06@ HOU1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.5
Total Bases2±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Total Bases0.93−2.1
08-27Hits0.70+0.7
08-24Hits0.71−0.3
08-19Total Bases1.31+0.3
08-09Hits0.91−0.1
07-24Hits1.00+1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs NYYW 8-4201000000000.254.297.380.677
09-20vs NYYW 5-3111000010000.253.296.379.675
09-19vs NYYL 9-2200000000100.251.293.378.671
09-16vs MIAL 4-2 F/11210000000000.252.294.380.674
09-13vs TEXL 6-2301000000000.253.296.381.677
09-12vs TEXW 9-1512100100100.253.295.382.677
09-09@ KCL 5-2201000020000.251.294.379.673
09-08@ KCW 5-3 F/11510000000000.250.290.379.669
09-07@ KCW 5-4 F/10412000000000.253.293.383.676
09-06@ HOUW 3-2401000000000.251.291.382.673
09-05@ HOUW 4-3 F/10110000000000.251.292.383.675
09-02vs PHIW 1-0300000000000.251.293.384.677
09-02vs PHIL 7-1401000000100.253.295.387.681
09-01vs PHIL 2-1401000000101.253.295.388.683
08-30@ SFL 7-2412000100000.253.295.390.685
08-29@ SFW 7-1500000000100.251.293.388.682
08-29@ SFW 10-6411000200000.254.297.393.690
08-28@ SFL 6-1400000000100.254.297.395.692
08-26vs CHCW 2-0400000000100.256.300.399.699
08-26vs CHCW 5-4400000000100.259.303.403.706