StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Hunter Goodman

Colorado Rockies · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20vs SEA1
09-20vs SEA1
09-19vs SEA1
09-15vs SD2
09-12@ DET1
09-11@ DET0
09-10@ NYY0
09-09@ NYY0
09-08@ NYY1
09-06vs STL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases7±1.4
Hits3±1.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-12Total Bases1.54−2.5
08-31Total Bases1.72−0.3
08-01Hits0.94−3.1
07-31Hits0.90+0.9
07-28Total Bases2.00+2.0
07-26Total Bases2.11+1.1
07-24Hits1.11+0.1
07-22Total Bases2.31+1.3
07-17Total Bases2.40+2.4
07-12Total Bases2.32+0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SEAL 2-1411001100200.245.312.528.840
09-20vs SEAW 5-3301000010000.245.313.524.837
09-19vs SEAL 5-4501000000000.244.311.526.837
09-15vs SDL 8-7312110010000.245.312.529.841
09-12@ DETL 11-7411001310100.242.309.522.831
09-11@ DETL 6-2400000000100.242.308.518.826
09-10@ NYYL 10-3500000000100.244.310.522.833
09-09@ NYYL 6-1400000000000.247.313.528.841
09-08@ NYYL 5-3411001200100.249.316.532.848
09-06vs STLL 10-8110000001000.249.316.528.845
09-06vs STLW 10-7511000200200.249.316.530.845
09-05vs STLL 7-6300000110000.250.317.533.850
09-02vs BALW 6-5 F/11511100000300.252.318.537.855
09-02vs BALW 4-2400000000300.252.319.538.857
09-01vs BALL 2-1311100010100.255.322.543.865
08-30@ ATLL 3-2 F/10401000000200.254.320.542.863
08-29@ ATLL 2-1310000010000.254.321.545.866
08-28@ ATLL 6-4503000100100.256.321.549.870
08-27@ WSHL 7-1100000000000.252.318.548.867
08-26@ WSHW 13-1622001200100.252.319.550.869