StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Hector Rodriguez

Cincinnati Reds · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

2/1020% cleared overavg 0.2
09-20vs CHC0
09-18vs CHC0
09-17vs LAD1
09-15vs LAD0
09-14vs LAD0
09-13@ MIL0
09-12@ MIL1
09-11@ MIL0
09-10@ LAD0
09-09@ LAD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.8
Total Bases1±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Hits0.90+0.9
09-13Hits1.10+1.1
09-08Hits1.30+1.3
08-25Hits0.51−0.5
08-23Total Bases0.82−1.2
08-22Hits0.32−1.7
08-20Hits0.31−0.7
08-18Hits0.30+0.3
08-15Hits0.30+0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs CHCL 9-1100000000000.218.265.379.644
09-18vs CHCW 6-4400000000201.220.267.382.649
09-17vs LADL 8-2301010000100.227.276.395.671
09-15vs LADL 4-0300000000000.224.274.379.654
09-14vs LADL 4-1300000000100.230.281.389.670
09-13@ MILW 4-3400000000100.236.288.400.688
09-12@ MILL 13-9401000000000.245.298.415.713
09-11@ MILL 20-0400000000000.245.300.422.722
09-10@ LADL 14-1400000000100.255.311.439.750
09-09@ LADL 3-2300000000200.266.324.457.781
09-08@ LADL 6-3412000000100.275.333.473.806
09-06vs MILW 12-8523000100100.264.326.471.798
09-05vs MILW 5-3402000000200.244.311.463.775
09-04vs MILL 10-7300000010300.231.302.462.764
09-02vs SDW 7-3511001100100.240.305.480.785
09-01vs SDW 4-3412100100200.243.312.457.769
08-31vs SDL 5-0501000000200.227.301.439.741
08-30@ CHCW 7-5411001300200.230.309.459.768
08-29@ CHCL 17-5400000010100.228.313.421.734
08-28@ CHCW 10-8322000110000.245.322.453.775