StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Hao-Yu Lee

Detroit Tigers · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20@ CHW0
09-19@ CHW2
09-18@ CHW4
09-16@ TOR0
09-15@ TOR2
09-14@ TOR0
09-13vs COL0
09-12vs COL3
09-09vs MIN0
09-08vs MIN0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.8
Total Bases1±2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-09Hits0.60+0.6
08-26Hits0.80+0.8
08-23Total Bases1.03−2.0
08-22Hits0.61−0.4
08-21Hits0.61−0.4
08-17Hits0.53−2.5
08-15Hits0.61−0.4
08-12Hits0.61−0.4
07-31Hits0.90+0.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CHWL 8-1400000000200.262.317.426.744
09-19@ CHWL 3-1502000000300.266.321.432.753
09-18@ CHWW 11-8524101300000.264.320.432.752
09-16@ TORL 5-1400000000100.254.313.412.725
09-15@ TORW 10-1512001100100.258.316.418.735
09-14@ TORW 6-5400000000100.255.315.408.723
09-13vs COLW 8-1300000110100.259.319.414.733
09-12vs COLW 11-7523210310100.262.321.418.739
09-09vs MINW 7-2220000030100.256.314.400.714
09-08vs MINL 3-2300000000200.257.309.403.712
09-06@ CLEL 3-2 F/10310000010200.260.313.408.720
09-05@ CLEW 6-0310000020300.263.313.412.726
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10201000100000.266.312.417.729
09-04@ CLEL 7-6400000000100.265.310.416.727
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12521000110200.269.315.423.738
09-01@ MINL 15-2401100100200.270.315.427.742
08-31@ MINL 11-1312001100100.270.316.426.742
08-30vs LADL 6-1200000010200.266.312.411.722
08-29vs LADW 2-1401000010010.268.311.414.726
08-28vs LADL 2-1300000010100.268.310.417.727