StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Ha-Seong Kim

Atlanta Braves · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.3
09-20@ HOU0
09-16@ CHC0
09-14@ CHC0
09-13vs PHI0
09-12vs PHI0
09-11vs PHI1
09-10vs TB2
09-07@ PHI0
09-05@ PHI0
09-04@ PHI0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.4 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±1.3
Hits3±0.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Hits0.50+0.5
09-14Total Bases0.50+0.5
09-07Hits0.30+0.3
09-02Total Bases0.32−1.7
09-01Total Bases0.23−2.8
08-28Hits0.20+0.2
08-07Total Bases0.10+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ HOUW 4-2400000000200.119.212.127.339
09-16@ CHCL 8-4300000000100.123.219.132.350
09-14@ CHCL 7-3200000000100.126.224.135.359
09-13vs PHIL 9-4200000020000.128.228.138.365
09-12vs PHIW 12-2310000010100.131.218.140.359
09-11vs PHIW 6-5 F/11111000100000.135.217.144.362
09-10vs TBW 3-1302000200000.126.211.136.346
09-07@ PHIL 1-0300000000200.110.198.120.318
09-05@ PHIL 4-2300000000200.113.204.124.327
09-04@ PHIW 5-2200000100000.117.210.128.337
09-02@ WSHW 9-0311100010000.120.214.130.344
09-01@ WSHL 9-5303000000000.112.202.112.314
08-30vs COLW 3-2 F/10300000000100.081.177.081.258
08-28vs COLW 6-4300000001000.084.183.084.267
08-27vs LADW 1-0301000000210.088.180.088.267
08-26vs LADW 6-5101000100000.078.174.078.252
08-15vs ARIL 10-3100000100000.066.165.066.230
08-09@ NYYW 2-1 F/10010000000000.067.167.067.233
08-07@ NYYL 3-2 F/10200000000100.067.167.067.233
06-28@ SFL 3-2200000010000.068.171.068.239