StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Graham Pauley

Miami Marlins · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Hits0.51−0.5
09-06Hits0.50+0.5
09-05Hits0.50+0.5
09-03Hits0.60+0.6
07-30Hits0.32−1.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ SDL 7-3200000000100.207.255.378.633
09-16@ ARIW 4-2 F/11200000000100.211.259.383.642
09-12vs LADW 4-3211001200100.214.262.389.652
09-09vs NYML 15-14613000200100.209.259.364.623
09-07vs NYML 9-4311001301200.195.248.358.606
09-06vs CHCW 10-3210000020000.192.240.333.574
09-05vs CHCL 6-5200000010100.195.232.339.571
09-03@ KCL 7-3400000000000.198.230.345.574
09-01@ KCW 6-3422011400100.205.237.357.594
08-16@ CINW 7-1100000000000.194.228.306.534
08-15@ CINW 8-4401100200100.196.230.308.538
08-14@ CINL 1-0201000000000.194.231.301.532
08-13vs PITL 13-1100000000100.188.226.297.523
08-11vs PITW 2-0000000000000.190.229.300.529
07-30@ NYML 4-2302000000000.190.229.300.529
07-28vs PHIW 1-0200000000100.175.216.289.504
07-26vs SDL 5-3201000100000.179.220.295.515
07-21@ HOUL 8-5200000000100.172.214.290.505
06-30@ COLW 10-7000000000000.176.219.297.515
06-28@ STLL 2-1201100100000.176.219.297.515