StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Garrett Mitchell

Milwaukee Brewers · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 1
09-20@ BAL1
09-19@ BAL0
09-18@ BAL0
09-17@ PIT1
09-15@ PIT1
09-13vs CIN0
09-12vs CIN4
09-11vs CIN3
09-09vs CHC0
09-08vs CHC0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.7
Total Bases2±2.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.00+1.0
09-13Hits1.00+1.0
09-07Hits1.01+0.0
08-18Total Bases0.84−3.3
08-13Hits0.60+0.6
08-08Hits0.50+0.5
08-05Hits0.70+0.7
08-02Hits0.80+0.8
08-01Hits0.90+0.9
07-18Total Bases2.04−2.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ BALW 3-0301000010100.266.358.427.786
09-19@ BALW 1-0300000010200.265.357.428.785
09-18@ BALW 6-5 F/10400000000200.267.358.431.789
09-17@ PITL 7-4211100000100.270.361.435.796
09-15@ PITW 5-1301100011101.269.360.432.793
09-13vs CINL 4-3100000010101.268.358.431.789
09-12vs CINW 13-9524101400010.269.357.432.789
09-11vs CINW 20-0533001400000.263.353.418.770
09-09vs CHCW 8-6410000000210.258.350.408.758
09-08vs CHCW 4-3 F/10400000000300.261.353.412.765
09-07vs CHCW 4-3211000110000.264.356.416.772
09-06@ CINL 12-8322010100000.262.354.416.770
09-05@ CINL 5-3400000000200.259.352.409.761
09-04@ CINW 10-7211100000000.262.355.413.768
09-03@ CHCL 2-1301000000200.261.355.410.765
08-31@ CHCL 17-3201000000101.260.355.411.765
08-30vs TEXL 7-4411000010000.259.354.410.764
08-29vs TEXW 5-3410000000100.259.354.412.766
08-28vs TEXW 6-1310000000000.262.357.416.773
08-26@ NYMW 8-1512000100301.264.359.420.779