StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Freddie Freeman

Los Angeles Dodgers · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

3/1030% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20vs SF2
09-20vs SF0
09-19vs SF0
09-17@ CIN2
09-16@ CIN0
09-15@ CIN3
09-13@ MIA0
09-12@ MIA0
09-09vs CIN0
09-08vs CIN0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±1.2
Total Bases5±1.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.93−2.1
09-12Total Bases1.40+1.4
09-07Hits1.10+1.1
09-03Hits1.20+1.2
09-02Hits1.12−0.9
08-25Hits1.00+1.0
08-19Total Bases1.42−0.6
08-17Total Bases1.35−3.7
08-16Total Bases1.30+1.3
08-13Hits1.20+1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SFW 3-1402000000100.292.367.438.806
09-20vs SFW 10-4500000000100.290.367.438.804
09-19vs SFW 8-2400000000200.293.369.442.811
09-17@ CINW 8-2322000110000.295.372.445.817
09-16@ CINL 6-2500000000300.293.370.444.814
09-15@ CINW 4-0503000000000.296.373.448.821
09-13@ MIAL 6-4400000001100.293.371.447.818
09-12@ MIAL 4-3400000000000.295.373.450.822
09-09vs CINW 3-2400000000300.297.375.453.828
09-08vs CINW 6-3310000010010.299.378.457.834
09-07vs WSHW 7-5401000000100.301.378.459.838
09-06vs WSHW 6-5310000001200.302.379.461.840
09-04vs STLW 3-2400000000100.303.380.464.844
09-03vs STLL 8-6 F/10212001330000.306.383.467.850
09-02vs STLL 13-8210000010200.303.377.459.837
08-30@ DETW 6-1232100020000.304.378.461.839
08-29@ DETL 2-1401000100000.301.373.457.830
08-28@ DETW 2-1402000110200.302.374.459.833
08-27@ ATLL 1-0401000000000.300.372.458.831
08-26@ ATLL 6-5422100010000.301.373.460.833